Monad’s Debut Shows Why FDV Forecasts Broke as Bitcoin Fell
Wall Street broker Bernstein reports that the GENIUS Act and CLARITY Act have pushed the U.S. crypto industry into its most advanced phase yet. According to the firm, these regulatory frameworks are giving digital assets greater legitimacy and stability, helping the United States position itself as a global leader in the sector. Clearer rules are encouraging stronger market participation and building confidence among institutions and innovators.
Bernstein highlights several signals of this progress, including a sharp rise in stablecoin supply, increased activity in crypto ETFs, and the reopening of the IPO market for digital-asset companies. The firm also points to the SEC’s “Project Crypto,” which aims to streamline oversight and modernize compliance processes. Together, these developments mark a significant turning point for the U.S. crypto ecosystem.
Regulatory shift: from patchwork to blueprint
Bernstein says the U.S. has enacted the GENIUS Act, which accelerated U.S. dollar-backed stablecoins past $260bn in circulation, and is preparing the CLARITY Act to establish a cohesive market structure by delineating SEC/CFTC roles. The broker frames this as a decisive turn after years of jurisdictional uncertainty and litigation-driven policy.
What the GENIUS Act and CLARITY Act crypto framework does
GENIUS Act (law)
Creates a federal regime for payment stablecoins, reserve requirements, and disclosures.
CLARITY Act (expected late 2025)
Sets market structure for digital assets, clarifies agency remit, and outlines paths for token issuance/trading.
Goal
Unlock on-chain market infrastructure (24/7 settlement) and lower costs in tokenized securities, stablecoins, and crypto assets.
Project Crypto: SEC’s integration plan
According to Bernstein, the centerpiece is SEC Chair Paul S. Atkins’ “Project Crypto,” which aims to.
classify many crypto assets outside traditional securities law via a formal token taxonomy;
enable tokenized stocks/bonds and license broker-dealers to handle both digital and traditional assets;
modernize rails for on-chain trading and T+instant settlement to reduce friction and cost.

Market impact of the GENIUS Act and CLARITY Act crypto framework
ETFs
U.S. crypto ETFs now hold $160bn AUM; institutions account for roughly a quarter of spot ETF investors.
IPOs/Public markets
Digital asset IPOs raised $4bn since January; listed crypto firms’ market cap climbed from $80bn (early 2024) to $380bn, with Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD) joining the S&P 500.
Risk profile
Regulatory clarity lowers policy turnover risk and invites broader institutional participation.
Context & Analysis
Bernstein’s thesis rests on the interplay of statute (GENIUS), a pending market-structure bill (CLARITY), and administrative direction (Project Crypto). The mix mirrors prior U.S. financial evolutions statute sets guardrails while agencies implement via rulemaking and exemptions potentially creating a durable pathway for tokenization, stablecoin payments, and ETF distribution.

Conclusion
Bernstein notes that the crypto market is entering a more sustainable growth cycle supported by clearer regulations and rising institutional participation. With defined rules now guiding the industry, investor confidence is strengthening, and blockchain technology is becoming more embedded in mainstream financial activity across the United States.
The firm adds that if the CLARITY Act is implemented as expected and the SEC’s Project Crypto continues to advance, the U.S. will be well-positioned to solidify its lead in digital finance. These policy shifts could create a stronger, more resilient environment for long-term crypto innovation and market expansion.
FAQs
Facts
Event
Bernstein says U.S. regulatory framework (GENIUS + CLARITY + Project Crypto) positions nation as crypto leaderDate/Time
2025-11-12T13:54:00+05:00 (published); 2025-11-12T20:16:00+05:00 (updated)Entities
Bernstein; U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC); Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); Paul S. Atkins (SEC Chair); U.S. Congress (GENIUS/CLARITY); Coinbase (COIN); Robinhood (HOOD)Figures
Stablecoins > $260bn (USD); ETFs $160bn AUM; IPOs $4bn YTD; public crypto firms $380bn market capQuotes
“the most ambitious effort yet to fuse securities markets with blockchain technology” paraphrased from Bernstein’s characterization of Project Crypto in coverageSources
See below.

